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Sales Analysis FERG
For the financial year Oct 31,23, Ferguson Plc sales were sharply up 15.5% to $7.71 billion from $6.67 billion last year. We predict Ferguson Plc sales to go down 2.5% to around $7.51 billion during the next 12 months. The share price of Ferguson Plc has little sensitivity to increases to sales with forecast sales alone increasing the share price by 0.03%.
Ferguson Plc currently has 35,000 employees and with sales of $7.71 billion this equates to sales of $220.23 thousand per employee.
Profitability
For Oct 31,23 Cost of goods sold was sharply up 15.8% from $4.64 billion last year to $5.38 billion. This cost represented 69.76% of overall sales up from 69.59% last year and is expected to fall to 69.48% next year. We predict Cost of goods sold to move down 2.9% to around $5.22 billion during the next 12 months.
Selling General and Administrative expenses, since last year, have risen by 2.93%, from $1469.0 million to $1512.0 million this year and we expect SGA to move down 9.7% to around $1366.02 million during the next 12 months.
This meant gross income was $2.33 billion making a gross profit margin of 30.24% of sales, which we expect to be 30.96% next year. The share price of Ferguson Plc has little sensitivity to increases to gross profit margin.
With 35,000 employees, the gross income is $66.6 thousand per employee.
Earnings
EBIT was 9.55% of sales and sharply increased by 54.3% from last year's $477.0 million to $736.0 million this year and we expect EBIT to be $778.48 million next year.
Pre-tax income was 8.96% of sales and for this fiscal year was up 59.58% from the previous year, totaling $691.0 million and we expect it to be $633.67 million next year. Ferguson Plc paid $172.0 million tax. Its effective tax rate was 24.89% from 25.64% last year and estimated as 26.76% next year.
Including discontinued income, after tax income was 6.73% of sales and was up 61.18% from $322.0 million last year to $519.0 million this year and we expect it to be $450.97 million next year. Return on Equity was unchanged since last year at inf, and we expect it to be 450.97 million next year.